June 15, 2010
Analysts at the French financial group AXA see a serious likelihood that the eurozone will break in half or disintegrate, dismissing Europe’s €750bn (£623bn) rescue package for Club Med debtors as a stop-gap measure that misdiagnoses the problem.
“The markets are very nervous because they can see that there is a fatal flaw in the system and no clear way out,” said Theodora Zemek, head of global fixed income at AXA Investment Managers.
“We are in a very major crisis that has even broader implications than the credit crisis two years ago. The politicians have not yet twigged to this.”
Ms Zemek said the rescue had bought a “maximum” of 18 months respite before deeper structural damage hits home, with a “probable” default by Greece setting off a chain reaction across Southern Europe. “It would be the end of the euro as we know it. The long-term implications are at best a split in the eurozone, at worst the destruction of the euro. It is not going to end happily however you slice it,” she said.
The warning came as Spain’s authorities were forced to shoot down German media reports that Madrid was preparing to tap the rescue facility after ructions in the inter-bank market.
This article was posted: Tuesday, June 15, 2010 at 4:09 am