One of the best things about WUWT is the number of eyes and minds at work, multiplying the efforts. This is interesting. Now that the 1998 El Nino is disappearing off the 10 year scale, things are looking a bit different
From “crosspatch” in comments:
NCDC now has December 2008 in the database. Annual North American temperature since 1998 (11 years of data) is falling over the period at a rate of 0.78(F)/decade or 7.8(F)per century. At this rate we will be in an ice age within 5 decades. If you can get the graphic, the heavy black like is the average over the century 1901 to 2000.
Here is the graphic from their automated graphics generator linked to their database:
Source: National Climatic Data Center
(Article continues below)
While the link he provided is only a result, I’m sure he’ll share the method in comments to this post.
UPDATE: He has indeed, see below. Try your own hand at it. The trend will likely flatten a bit with the removal of 1998 from the 10 year set. Of course you could pick any number of scales/periods and get different results. The point being made here is that the last 10 years hasn’t met with some model expectations.
Also I have corrected in the text the reference to Centigrade when it was actually Fahrenheit, note the (F). NCDC being an arm of the US government operates on the English unit system whereas most other organizations use metric, and thus Centigrade. I’ve made the mistake myself, so has NASA, who famously lost a Mars probe when they botched orbit entry calculations by use of Metric and English units on different science teams.
To generate the graphic I made:
Leave the “Data Type” field at “Mean Temperature”
Select “Annual” from the “Period” field pull down
Select “1998″ as “First Year To Display”
and click the blue “Submit” oval at the below the data entry form.
January 7th, 2009 at 6:25 am
An ice is coming thats the thesis of Calor Glacial, Glacial Heat, the book of the Spanish journalist Luis Carlos CAmpos, published in books4pocket (2008). He predicted in 2003 all what is happening today
January 7th, 2009 at 8:16 am
Oh sure, just like global warming was going to hit us hard 5 years ago…
January 7th, 2009 at 9:50 am
William Cooper the author of Behold a Pale Horse predicted the Ice Age years before he was murdered.
January 7th, 2009 at 10:30 am
Yeah right! These people can’t even predict when the next snowfall is going to be and now they make the claim of an ice age within 50 years?!
They are really grasping at straws now to keep the masses in line and if you believe this bovine scatology, I have a redwood forest in Texas for sale.
January 7th, 2009 at 10:32 am
NOoooooooo!
This cannot be!
I am invested in global warming. Ack.
January 6, 2009 Updated end of day.
Total Daily Electronic Volume: 205,400 mt CO2
CCX CFI CLOSE CHANGE
CFI 2003 $1.60 $-0.05
CFI 2008 $1.60 $-0.05
CFI 2010 $1.65 $0.00
http://www.chicagoclimateexchange.com/
January 7th, 2009 at 10:36 am
This is NOT being predicted, This has all been planned many years ago and part of the planning was released in 1966 in “The Iron Mountain Report” Google it, read the text, watch the video and you will see that all the Global warming crap is part of a plan to keep you in control during the transition from the period of war to the period of peace.
Fear mongering is all this is, don’t fall for their lies, research the facts!
January 7th, 2009 at 3:47 pm
The biggest problem with all of this warming / cooling alarmist chatter is the real point is lost. Climate change is real and will always occur. Mankind has been in a relatively calm window of change. That cant last forever.
January 7th, 2009 at 9:52 pm
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WRITE ON EVERY PAPER CURRENCY IN YOUR POSITION THE FOLLOWING…
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GOOD LUCK 2 EVERYONE AND GOOD LUCK 2 MANKIND…………
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January 8th, 2009 at 7:05 am
From the charts of data I saw, I could see we are in a warm period and that the last warm period was about 125,000 years ago and we are nearing the bottom of the previous one.
When it turns around again then we will go into another Ice Age but it will take 10,000 years just to start.
January 8th, 2009 at 8:32 am
It would be a hell of a lot warmer here in Canada if they would stop their damn chemtrail spraying!!!
Anyone noticing that it is colder than usual where they are will probably notice the same thing. No Sun.
Believe me it makes a hell of a difference…
What could have been hot summer days last year were made chilling by the spraying.
Any crops i had got little to no sun and came up too late to grow to their potential.
If you want better weather then we need to do something about this spraying…
contact your rep…whatever..but do something!
January 8th, 2009 at 6:24 pm
Thanks for the resource. Extrapolating conditions fifty years from now based on the last ten years’ data is unreasonable, but it would be reasonable to use the data to predict that the next couple of years are likely to be colder.