Even by Washington scandal standards, the
"terrorism futures" scandal was strange and dramatic.
It started when two senators discovered an obscure military program
designed to gauge the chances of various geopolitical developments,
including terrorist attacks, by asking people to bet money on them. Within
48 hours -- or, more precisely, two news cycles -- the program was
canceled and the man behind it, John Poindexter of Iran-contra fame, had
tendered his resignation.
What most people don't know is that the Department of Defense is
already funding a research program with far creepier implications.
The $24 million enterprise called Brain Machine Interfaces is
developing technology that promises to directly read thoughts from a
living brain -- and even instill thoughts as well.
The research, some of which is being done at the Massachusetts
Institute of Technology, is already surprisingly advanced. Monkeys in a
laboratory can control the movement of a robotic arm using only their
thoughts. And last year scientists in New York announced they could
control the skittering motions of a rat by implanting electrodes in its
brain, steering it around the lab floor as if it were a radio-controlled
toy car.
It does not take much imagination to see in this the makings of a
"Matrix"-like cyberpunk dystopia: chips that impose false memories,
machines that scan for wayward thoughts, cognitively augmented government
security forces that impose a ruthless order on a recalcitrant population.
It is one thing to propose a tasteless market for gambling on
terrorism. It is quite another to set some of the nation's top
neuroscientists to work on mind control.
But though they differ in degree, the Brain Machine Interface program
and the terrorism futures market share many features. They are shocking.
They are bizarre. And they are far more worthy of taxpayer money than at
first they seem.
The terrorism futures idea, the subject of near hysterical media
coverage, is rooted in well-established economic principles. The Brain
Machine Interface program, which may well be next in the spotlight, could
offer help to the paralyzed and is no more likely to bring about a virtual
police state than technologies that already are available.
With Congress clamoring for much stricter oversight of the Defense
Advanced Research Projects Agency (DARPA), which funds both programs, the
episode is less a drama of Poindexter and a band of mad bureaucrats than
it is a reminder of how important it is for the government to spend some
of its resources on the outlandish. Money from DARPA and other small
government agencies, such as the Office of Naval Research, has produced
profound scientific advances, Nobel Prizes, and technologies -- such as
the Internet -- that have changed the world.
"It is important to have horizons longer than three years and the
chance to try out bold ideas," said Tomaso Poggio, one of the MIT
scientists involved in Brain Machine Interfaces. More traditional funding
agencies can be so conservative, Poggio said, that "people sometimes joke
that you have to have done the experiment before you can write the
proposal."
Like the futures market, the Brain Machine Interface program grew out
of DARPA's long involvement in information processing. DARPA is the
successor to ARPA, an office that was created in 1958, in the wake of
Sputnik, to push forward scientific research with potential military
applications. ARPA laid the foundation for what is today the Internet, and
also contributed to a wide variety of computer applications currently in
use.
DARPA's brain-machine work, which is unclassified and eventually will
be published in scientific journals, attracts scientists because it
explores some of the central questions in neuroscience, such as the nature
of consciousness and memory, and the neural code the brain uses to store
and process information.