Naomi Oreskes and Jonathan Renouf
London Times
Monday, Sept 8, 2008
A shadowy scientific elite codenamed Jason warned the US about global warming 30 years ago but was sidelined for political convenience.
Today the scientific argument about the broad principles of what we are doing to the Earth’s climate is over. By releasing huge quantities of greenhouse gases such as carbon dioxide and methane into the atmosphere we are warming the world.
Since the early 1990s there has been a furious debate about global warming. So-called climate change “sceptics” have spent years disputing almost every aspect of the scientific consensus on the subject. Their arguments have successfully delayed significant political action to deal with greenhouse gas emissions. Recent research reveals how the roots of this argument stretch back to two hugely influential reports written almost 30 years ago.
(Article continues below)
These reports involve a secret organisation of American scientists reporting to the US Department of Defense. At the highest levels of the American government, officials pondered whether global warming was a significant new threat to civilisation. They turned for advice to the elite special forces of the scientific world – a shadowy organisation known as Jason. Even today few people have heard of Jason. It was established in 1960 at the height of the cold war when a group of physicists who had helped to develop the atomic bomb proposed a new organisation that would – to quote one of its founders – “inject new ideas into national defence”.
So the Jasons (as they style themselves) were born; a self-selected group of brilliant minds free to think the unthinkable in the knowledge that their work was classified. Membership was by invitation only and they are indeed the cream. Of the roughly 100 Jasons over the years, 11 have won Nobel prizes and 43 have been elected to the US National Academy of Sciences.
For years, being a Jason was just about the best job going in American science. Every summer the Jasons all moved to San Diego in California to devote six weeks to working together. They were paid well and rented houses by the beach. The kids surfed while their dads saved the world. Less James Bond, more Club Med.
Today the Jasons still meet in San Diego in a quaint postwar construction with more than a hint of Thunderbirds about it. In 1977 they got to work on global warming. There was one potential problem. Only a few of them knew anything about climatology. To get a better understanding they relocated for a few days to Boulder, Colorado, the base for NCAR – the National Center for Atmospheric Research – where they heard the latest information on climate change. Then, being physicists, they went back to first principles and decided to build a model of the climate system. Officially it was called Features of Energy-Budget Climate Models: An Example of Weather-Driven Climate Stability, but it was dubbed the Jason Model of the World.
In 1979 they produced their report: coded JSR-78-07 and entitled The Long Term Impact of Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide on Climate. Now, with the benefit of hind-sight, it is remarkable how prescient it was.
Right on the first page, the Jasons predicted that carbon dioxide levels in the atmosphere would double from their preindustrial levels by about 2035. Today it’s expected this will happen by about 2050. They suggested that this doubling of carbon dioxide would lead to an average warming across the planet of 2-3C. Again, that’s smack in the middle of today’s predictions. They warned that polar regions would warm by much more than the average, perhaps by as much as 10C or 12C. That prediction is already coming true – last year the Arctic sea ice melted to a new record low. This year may well set another record.
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Home » Sci Tech » Global Warming Advocates Cite Elite Cover Up Conspiracy

September 8th, 2008 at 1:23 pm
More revisionism from Climate warming cultists. They are now claiming that there was scientific consensus on AGW during the 1990’s and this has been cynically challenged by industry and political sceptics. What utter BS!!!
The only thing that has really challenged the hypothesis of AGW as modelled by the cult is the Actual earth on which we live cooling down and the computer model based predictions being wrong!
September 8th, 2008 at 2:27 pm
What a piece of toilet paper which I would not even wipe my ass with!!! How many times can someone put “consensus” in a text? Well, this guy did. What else could he do since he is obviously lacking the knowledge and brains to understand the science.
September 8th, 2008 at 9:58 pm
Atomic bombs warm the planet? There’s a new one I haven’t heard before.
Did Gore help you form that brain fart?
One more queston: can you get any dumber?
September 9th, 2008 at 2:09 am
The London Times is about as credible as the “Dick Cheney Daily”.
September 9th, 2008 at 3:33 am
@Ken Hall
You’re a retard. Not one thing you said just then was true. Yes, there was a consensus in the 90’s and yes the world is warming! The last decade has seen a 0.1 Degree Celsius warming trend, despite what the liars and deniers tell you.
@RayB
You’re wrong RayB, totally and utterly.
@Zombie America
That dumbarse you are talking to is on YOUR side!
September 9th, 2008 at 5:36 am
“Their arguments have successfully delayed significant political action to deal with greenhouse gas emissions. Recent research reveals how the roots of this argument stretch back to two hugely influential reports written almost 30 years ago.”
Apparently they forget (or hoped that the world does not know how to research the archives) that 32 years ago Newsweek reported that we were headed to an ‘Ice Age’ due to drastic drops in the global temperature.( http://www.denisdutton.com/cooling_world.htm )
September 9th, 2008 at 9:39 am
these paranoid leaders do not like challenge..
the little bird should be careful where he sings..
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1V5iCUBEUx4
September 9th, 2008 at 11:33 am
Karmakazi, if there was a consensus about man being responsible for warming the planet throughout the 1990’s then the IPCC would NOT have had to make such a big deal of pretending that there was finally sucjh a consensus suddenly being available in 2006. NOBODY disputes that temperatures rose throughout the 1980’s and 1990’s, and there IS concensus on that, BUT there was a complete LACK of consensus as to the reason for this rise in temperature from right across the scientific community as a whole, or the climate researchers to be specific.
In fact “scientific consensus” is an oxymoron in scientific research terms. There is NO scientific consensus on AGW now. If there was, then we would not be responding to media reports of AGW or the scientific disputes surrounding that hypothesis.
The pro AGW crowd have to falsely pretend there is consensus by claiming that there is consensus amongst scientists (but only those that agree with AGW) They ignore all those scientists that disagree with AGW, even to the extent that the qualifications, previous achievements, scientific papers published and awards received by any full time research scientists are utterly ignored and even rubbished if their research disputes AGW.
It is interesting to me that you throw labels around with careless abandon such as retard, when you clearly have NO idea who you are dealing with.
It is easy and so very lazy to retort to simple and crass insults of this sort and this demonstrates how you cannot back up your arguments and you give in and throw meaningless and simple crude insults instead. This shows that your arrogance is only matched by your ignorance.
I can understand however why you should feel this way, as it is natural to be aggressive when lonely. After all, your brain cell has been alone for such a long time now. If I ever am available for a brain transplant, I really hope that I get yours, as I would prefer one that has never been used!
September 9th, 2008 at 12:33 pm
Oh and by the way Karmakazi, you claim 0.1 degree warming “trend” over the last decade. 0.1 degrees over a decade is NOT unusual at any time in history and is very much within natural variability and does NOTHING to prove or even corroberate AGW.
That said, the last decade runs from 1998 to 2008. 1998 being the hottest year since the 1930’s. 2008 being about 0.5 degrees AT LEAST cooler. That is NOT a warming trend ANY way you try to twist and spin it. Since 1998 global mean temperature dropped, rose a little for a while then levelled out for a while then dropped again leaving mean global temperatures LOWER than in 1998.
Only the AGW Cultist’s at NASA under Dr Hansen (who constantly re-jigs his figures to falsely accentuate any warming) say otherwise. All the other global temperature monitoring bodies, show temperatures falling recently and no overall warming for at least a decade.
You can call me all the names under the sun, but computerised climate models did not predict what has actually happened, your wild and desperately childish tantrums notwithstanding.
I suggest that you grow up.