Sept 19, 2011
Gold, platinum and Brent oil will lead gains in commodities as investors seek to protect their assets and shortages emerge, according to Tony Hall, the hedge- fund manager who earned 33 percent for his clients this year.
Gold may climb 21 percent to a record $2,200 an ounce by the end of 2011, platinum may gain 10 percent and Brent could rise 26 percent to $140 a barrel in six months, said the London- based chief investment officer of Duet Commodities Fund Ltd., which manages more than $100 million of assets. Its eight-month gain compares with a mean return of 0.6 percent across commodity hedge funds tracked by HedgeFund.net and beat larger rivals such as Clive Capital LLP and Fortress Commodities Offshore Fund Ltd.
“The fear of recession, the fear of worse economic numbers is weighing on commodities and stopping gains from fundamentals from coming through,” said Hall, 31, who spars as a heavyweight boxer. “We still believe in the gold story. If you believe the world is in trouble or in further economic growth disruption, then gold is a good safe haven. If you believe that the world is going to come out okay, then it’s a good inflation hedge.”
At a time when the MSCI All-Country World Index of global equities declined 9.6 percent this year, the Standard & Poor’s GSCI measure of 24 commodities advanced 2.6 percent, led by silver, gold and energy.
This article was posted: Monday, September 19, 2011 at 3:22 am