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McCain could still win — if everything broke his way

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Steven Thomma
McClatchy Newspapers
Thursday, Oct 30, 2008

WASHINGTON — John McCain still could win.

It would take what one analyst calls a “perfect storm” of events breaking his way in the campaign’s final days, but he could come from behind, overtake Barack Obama and pull off the greatest upset in 60 years.

He’d have to squeeze out more support from independents, score higher with his “Joe the Plumber” warning about Obama’s tax and economic polices, and hope that enough undecided voters swing his way to help him sweep almost all the states that now are considered tossups.

Difficult? Yes. Impossible? No.

While he’s still trailing, polls show McCain within reach and gaining, even if only slightly, both nationally and in some key battleground states.

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McCain could still win — if everything broke his way  161008pptv2

  • A d v e r t i s e m e n t

“Sure, McCain can win,” veteran conservative strategist Greg Mueller said. “It’s not going to be easy. But it can be done.”

A new Ipsos/McClatchy Poll this week found McCain trailing nationally by 6 percentage points, 2 points closer than the week before. The poll also found 8 percent of likely voters still undecided, enough to deliver the election to the Arizona senator if they moved to him as a bloc.

McCain also has closed the gap in several key battleground states, according to new polls released Wednesday by Quinnipiac University. In Florida, he trailed by 2 points, narrowing the gap from 5 points the week before. In Ohio, he went from 14 points back to 9 points behind.

For McCain to win, he must hold all the states that went for President Bush four years ago, which would be enough to give him 286 Electoral College votes and victory. He could even lose one midsized Bush state, such as Virginia, which has 13 electoral votes, and still have more than the 270 Electoral College votes needed to win.

This article was posted: Thursday, October 30, 2008 at 11:39 am





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