NATE SILVER: Obama’s Odds Of Winning Have Climbed Back To 66%

Henry Blodget
Business Insider
Oct 18, 2012

Obama’s odds of winning re-election have climbed back to 65%-70% since the second debate, according to three sources we’re tracking:

• Nate Silver’s aggregate poll forecast
• Intrade’s prediction market
• Betfair’s prediction market

First, Nate Silver of the New York Times now gives Obama 66% chance of reelection. That’s up from a post-first-debate low of ~60% a few days ago. And Silver says the impact of Obama’s strong performance in the second debate hasn’t yet factored into the polls he looks at.

Nate Silver, New York Times

Full article here

This article was posted: Thursday, October 18, 2012 at 3:09 am

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