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NATE SILVER: Obama’s Odds Of Winning Have Climbed Back To 66%

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Henry Blodget
Business Insider
Oct 18, 2012

Obama’s odds of winning re-election have climbed back to 65%-70% since the second debate, according to three sources we’re tracking:

  • Nate Silver’s aggregate poll forecast
  • Intrade’s prediction market
  • Betfair’s prediction market

First, Nate Silver of the New York Times now gives Obama 66% chance of reelection. That’s up from a post-first-debate low of ~60% a few days ago. And Silver says the impact of Obama’s strong performance in the second debate hasn’t yet factored into the polls he looks at.

NATE SILVER: Obamas Odds Of Winning Have Climbed Back To 66% nate silver obama odds

Nate Silver, New York Times

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This article was posted: Thursday, October 18, 2012 at 3:09 am





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