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Nov. 5: Late Poll Gains for Obama Leave Romney With Longer Odds
Posted By admin On November 6, 2012 @ 6:40 am In Featured Stories,Tile,U.S. News | Comments Disabled
NY Times 
Nov 6, 2012
Mitt Romney has always had difficulty drawing a winning Electoral College hand. Even during his best period of polling, in the week or two after the first presidential debate in Denver, he never quite pulled ahead in the polling averages in Ohio and other states that would allow him to secure 270 electoral votes.
But the most recent set of polls suggest another problem for Mr. Romney, whose momentum in the polls stalled out  in mid-October. Instead, it is President Obama who is making gains.
Among 12 national polls published on Monday, Mr. Obama led by an average of 1.6 percentage points. Perhaps more important is the trend in the surveys. On average, Mr. Obama gained 1.5 percentage points from the prior edition of the same polls, improving his standing in nine of the surveys while losing ground in just one.
Because these surveys had large sample sizes, the trend is both statistically and practically meaningful. Whether because of Hurricane Sandy, the relatively good economic news of late, or other factors, Mr. Obama appears to have gained ground in the closing days of the race.
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URLs in this post:
 NY Times: http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/11/06/nov-5-late-poll-gains-for-obama-leave-romney-with-longer-odds/
 momentum in the polls stalled out: http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/10/25/oct-24-in-polls-romneys-momentum-seems-to-have-stopped/
 REUTERS POLL: The Race Is Dead Even, But Obama Is Crushing Mitt Romney In The Electoral College: http://www.prisonplanet.com/reuters-poll-the-race-is-dead-even-but-obama-is-crushing-mitt-romney-in-the-electoral-college.html
 Presidential Polls Ohio: Race Still Close Between Obama, Romney: http://www.prisonplanet.com/presidential-polls-ohio-race-still-close-between-obama-romney.html
 Final Ohio Poll shows Romney, Obama in virtual dead heat: http://www.prisonplanet.com/final-ohio-poll-shows-romney-obama-in-virtual-dead-heat.html
 NATE SILVER: Obama’s Odds Of Winning Have Now Hit 85%: http://www.prisonplanet.com/nate-silver-obamas-odds-of-winning-have-now-hit-85.html
 Poll: Ron Paul is the GOP’s best bet against Obama in New Hampshire: http://www.prisonplanet.com/poll-ron-paul-is-the-gop%e2%80%99s-best-bet-against-obama-in-new-hampshire.html
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