Daily Caller 
Wednesday, December 28, 2011
Conservative commentator and former Republican presidential candidate Pat Buchanan says Ron Paul will likely win the Jan. 3 Iowa caucuses, and that a poor showing by Newt Gingrich would be a death knell for his struggling campaign.
“I’ll say this: if Newt comes in third, his surge is done,” he told The Daily Caller.
Buchanan, who surged to a second place showing in the 1996 Iowa caucuses before winning the New Hampshire primary, said that the Texas congressman is a “slight favorite” over Romney to win the caucuses.
If Paul wins and Romney finishes in second place, Buchanan said the former Massachusetts governor would still be well on his way to capturing the nomination.
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