December 20, 2012
When people throw around “trillions” (and in the case of Yen-denominated Japanese debt and/or total outstanding gross derivatives, quadrillions) with the facility that mere billions was being dispensed with as recently as 5 years ago, it is easy to lose sight of the big picture.
So what is the big picture? Well, recall the following quote from Warren Buffet’s letter to investors:
“Today the world’s gold stock is about 170,000 metric tons. If all of this gold were melded together, it would form a cube of about 68 feet per side. (Picture it fitting comfortably within a baseball infield.) At $1,750 per ounce – gold’s price as I write this – its value would be $9.6 trillion….You can fondle the cube, but it will not respond.”
Gold is now 7% lower, and even when netting incremental mining production in the interim since this letter was written, one can roughly say that the total value of all gold in the world is ~$9 trillion. In other words, in 2013 the Fed, alone, excluding all the other central banks, which as we pointed out earlier is vary naive, will conjure out of thin air enough 1s and 0s, equivalent to $1 trillion, or enough money to buy 11% of all the gold in existence in the world. Add all the other central banks, all of which are now engaged in “unlimited easing”, and this number will likely rise to about 20% of total.
In 3 years of unlimited easing, which at this pace looks quite possible, after all all Chairmen have made it clear there will be no end to the global paper printing until 2015, enough electronic money will have been created to buy more than half of all god in existence.
In 5 years? All of it.
So, once again, which is the scarcer commodity?
This article was posted: Thursday, December 20, 2012 at 2:20 pm