June 26, 2012
The A(H1N1) “swine flu” 2009 pandemic probably claimed over a quarter of a million lives — 15 times more than the 18,500 reported, a paper in The Lancet Infectious Diseases journal said Tuesday.
The elevated toll underlined the need for better planning and vaccine distribution, said a team of epidemiologists and physicians who made a statistical model based on population and infection estimates to present what they believe is a more accurate picture of the pandemic’s reach.
“This study is one of the first to provide a global estimate of deaths caused by the 2009 H1N1 virus,” lead author Fatimah Dawood of the US government’s Centers for Disease Control and Prevention told AFP in an email exchange.
“Unlike most other mortality estimates for the 2009 pandemic, this study includes estimated mortality for countries in southeast Asia and Africa where surveillance data on influenza-associated mortality are limited.”
This article was posted: Tuesday, June 26, 2012 at 7:06 am