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The Greek Bankruptcy Case Study Is Now A Cartoon
Posted By admin On June 16, 2011 @ 3:47 am In Money Watch | Comments Disabled
Zero Hedge 
June 16, 2011
With the Greek crisis approaching surreal proportions, now that everything from this point on is a carbon copy of events from May 2010 onward, and the only question is whether Europe will succeed in kicking the can down the road for another year (not with the 2 Year at 28% it won’t and the 30 Year priced at 40 cents on the dollar) all one can do at this point is laugh at the daily dose of denial at the Keynesian-cum-monetarist experiment. Alas, one also has to be dead serious about this stuff because it just may usher the eventual implosion of capitalism once again, since many (us among them), believe that the downstream effects from the bankruptcy of Greece, and thus the ECB, and thus Europe, will make Lehman seem like a walk in the park (and the only reason Greece hasn’t blown up yet, of course, is that Greece does not have a profitable fixed income trading desk that Goldman would love to gets its tentacles around). So in reporting on today’s events we combine the hysterical with the somber. First, we present the latest NMA cartoon summarizing the Greek fiasco in only a way that NMA can. We also share the latest Greek summary piece from SocGen (which itself will be downgraded substantially when Greece folds). It should serve sufficiently well to defuse any left over levity: “This looks like a last ditch effort from Papandreou to save the situation as his Parliamentary majority is eroded, and the opposition threatens to renege on the conditions adhered to when the IMF Stand-By Arrangement was originally signed back in May 2010. Meeting these programme requirements is a binding condition for a continuation of the EU/IMF quarterly disbursements, which are necessary to plug Greece’s funding gap. Greece’s situation, and the euro area’s sovereign crisis, have reached a new level of uncertainty.”
First, for regular idiots:
Then for wall street idiots:
Greece: the crisis reaches new highs
Euro area Finance Ministers so far have failed to find enough common ground on the next steps to address the Greek crisis, which continues to deepen inexorably. Credit rating agencies are mounting the pressure on Greek banks and financial institutions which are deemed to have material exposures towards Greece. All this is amplifying uncertainty and — by reflex — market volatility. Against this backdrop, Greek two-year yields reached their EMU era peak of 28%, and the euro hit a one-month low.
Sovereign bond yields at the periphery, Italy included, are all trading at distressed levels, close to one-year highs, as fears of contagion escalate. This is not a good sign.
In principle, next week’s Eurogroup and Ecofin meetings could mark some progress (June 20-21) and help to mitigate market distress, but there are two major policy complications.
Firstly, there is still a divide between the German inclination towards private sector burden-sharing and the Franco-ECB objection to anything that carries an‚element of compulsion?. A compromise will need to be forged to avoid a policy deadlock.
Second, even assuming that this major hurdle is cleared, an even bigger one is shaping up. On Wednesday, Prime Minister Papandreou offered to resign on the condition that all opposition parties agree to the additional austerity measures required under the EU/IMF programme.
This looks like a last ditch effort from Papandreou to save the situation as his Parliamentary majority is eroded, and the opposition threatens to renege on the conditions adhered to when the IMF Stand-By Arrangement was originally signed back in May 2010. Meeting these programme requirements is a binding condition for a continuation of the EU/IMF quarterly disbursements, which are necessary to plug Greece’s funding gap.
Greece’s situation, and the euro area’s sovereign crisis, have reached a new level of uncertainty.
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