The Cobourg Skeptic
Monday, August 24, 2009
An article about a radical way to cool the earth by 1 to 2 % contains some interesting data. It’s doubly interesting because the data was supplied by advocates of ways to combat AGW.
In a paper released earlier this month, two climate change gurus say that we – meaning the world – have actually done nothing to reduce CO2 emissions since the alarm was raised 20 years ago.
J. Eric Bickel and Lee Lane wrote a paper titled “An Analysis of Climate Engineering as a Response to Climate Change“, where they suggest using ships to spray salt into the atmosphere. If volcanoes can cool the world, so can a salt spray! (As an aside, the qualifications of these folks who are lauded as climate experts are no different than the qualifications of people like Ian Plimer who are criticized as not being real climate experts).
“The historical record is clear,” they say. They note that 2008 marked the 20th anniversary of the first meeting of the IPCC, whose mission was to devise the solution to global warming. Yet in 2008, the U.S. Energy Information Administration reported that global emissions of carbon dioxide were more than one-third higher than they were in 1988 – and that the rate of increase had accelerated. In fact, Prof. Bickel and Mr. Lane say, emissions grew four times more quickly between 2000 and 2007 than they did between 1990 and 1999.
“Thus, 20 years of protracted diplomatic talk and laborious scientific study,” they say, “have so far failed to move the needle on emission rates.” As for the countries that signed the Kyoto Protocol, “most signatories are failing to reduce emissions, much less meet their targets.” The trend lines remain clear. Essentially, the authors suggest, there is no reason to think that anything will be done, notwithstanding the increase in rhetoric.
They suggest that the cost of their approach would be a fraction of the cost of reducing carbon emissions which they say is not going to happen anyway.
But to me, the really interesting thing is that they actually come out and say that CO2 in the atmosphere is continuing to rise and no-one in the world has so far done anything about it. Further, they say that this is not likely to change in the future.
It’s fascinating that they think that “the world” will not do anything about CO2 emissions yet they offer a solution which is even less likely to be implemented.
If the world is truly warming, and if the people of the world either are not causing it OR won’t change behavior to stop the warming, then we had better come up with a plan. How about finding ways to cope? The world found ways to cope in past ice ages – the difference now is massively more people and established infrastructure. But it may need to be done. But then, maybe we should plan for another ice-age – it’s just as likely.
This article was posted: Monday, August 24, 2009 at 3:56 am