Aug 25, 2010
The market is now down 3.4% from the August 12 open, when the first Hindenburg Omen was sighted, on route to validating the prediction of a 5% drop.
However, in the process it continues getting worse and worse – today we just got a third H.O. confirmation, and a 4th standalone HO event, as the market seems to be getting ever more schizophrenic, with increasing new highs and new lows, while the undercurrent is one of ever increasing implied correlation as noted earlier, as ever more asset managers simply rely on levered beta “strategies” to redeem their year.
Unlike 2009, however, this time the trick won’t fly, as it appears the market’s downside potential is finally starting to be appreciated.