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Bottom-Bouncing Economy

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Greg Hunter
USA Watchdog
April 18, 2012

“Bottom-bouncing” is the term John Williams of Shadowstats.com uses consistently to describe the true state of the economy.  The mainstream media would like you to believe that with every slight uptick in the economy, we have hit bottom and are in a so-called “recovery.” The upticks are reported with wild enthusiasm, while the downticks are brushed over.  The latest bad news for the economy came from the housing sector.  CNBC reported Monday, “In a stark reversal during the heart of the spring housing market, confidence among the nation’s homebuilders dropped in April to levels not seen since January.  An association index measuring sentiment fell three points, changing course after seven straight months of gains. It now stands at twenty-five; fifty is the line between positive and negative sentiment.   ‘What we’re seeing is essentially a pause in what had been a fairly rapid build-up in builder confidence that started last September,’ said National Association of Home Builders Chief Economist David Crowe in a release.” (Click here for the complete CNBC story.)

Maybe sentiment is down because actual housing starts are also down nearly 6% in March.  But that’s not really the point to focus on according to Shadowstats.com—it is the overall trend.  In his latest report, Williams said, “March 2012 housing starts fell by a statistically-insignificant 5.8%, versus February 2012, but that was no more than the 40th-straight month of stagnant business activity.  This period of stagnation, or bottom-bouncing at historically-low levels, followed an unprecedented 75% plunge in housing activity from 2006 through the end of 2008.” (Click here to go to the Shadowstats.com home page.)

Williams says a real turnaround in the economy is unlikely without real income growth.  In fact, not only is there no growth in consumer income, but it has contracted since the 2008 financial crisis as shown in this chart:  

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This article was posted: Wednesday, April 18, 2012 at 2:49 am

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