April 29, 2020
At least 4.2million people in the UK have been infected with the killer coronavirus, according to one of the best estimates of the disease’s death rate.
And London, which has been at the heart of Britain’s epidemic, is home to at least 935,000 people who have had the disease already.
The estimate is based on numbers from a public health surveillance scheme in New York, which found that a quarter of the city’s population of 8million people had been exposed to the virus – meaning that the approximately 16,000 deaths recorded there represent a death rate of 0.79 per cent.
Other estimates from cities in Europe and a study by the University of California, Berkeley, put the virus’s death rate at between 0.19 and 0.5 per cent. In comparison, the death rate of flu is thought to be around the 0.1 per cent mark.
Extrapolating from these figures suggest that between 4.2 and 33.5million Britons have been infected with COVID-19, the vast majority of them untested, and between 935,000 and 3.8million people in London may have been ill already.
Officials have no idea how big the outbreak truly is because of a lack of widespread testing for people outside of NHS hospitals.
This article was posted: Wednesday, April 29, 2020 at 4:00 am