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Russian “Infowar” Analyst Says U.S. Will Break Apart

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Author, professor predicts collapse of unified America due to terminal economic and political decline

Steve Watson
Tuesday, Nov 25, 2008

A renowned Russian political analyst has repeated a prediction he made ten years ago that the economic and political turmoil in the U.S. will lead the country to collapse and divide into separate parts.

Igor Panarin, doctor of political sciences and professor of the Russian Diplomatic Academy Ministry of Foreign Affairs, repeated the prediction in an interview, published yesterday, with the widely read Russian daily Izvestia.

“The dollar is not secured by anything.” Panarin commented.

“The country’s foreign debt has grown like an avalanche, even though in the early 1980s there was no debt. By 1998, when I first made my prediction, it had exceeded $2 trillion. Now it is more than 11 trillion. This is a pyramid that can only collapse.”

“It is already collapsing.” He continued, “Due to the financial crisis, three of the largest and oldest five banks on Wall Street have already ceased to exist, and two are barely surviving. Their losses are the biggest in history. Now what we will see is a change in the regulatory system on a global financial scale: America will no longer be the world’s financial regulator.”

Panarin suggests that China or Russia, or a coalition between the two countries, would replace the U.S. as a new world market regulator.

He also stated that there is a move underway to replace the Dollar with “a common Amero currency as a new monetary unit”, referring to the Security and Prosperity Partnership agreement between the U.S., Canada and Mexico.


Panarin is an expert in the theory and practice of information warfare and has authored nine books, including “Information War in Russia”, “Information War and Elections”, “Information War and Power”. His political essays are regularly published in various revered journals.

Citing intense political dissatisfaction due to lost savings, the rampant decline of industry, higher unemployment, higher prices, and “divisions among the elite”, Panarin says he expects the U.S. to eventually break up into six separate parts.

Along lines similar to those of 1865 during the Civil War, Panarin predicts the U.S. will split into the following territories:

The Pacific coast, with its growing Chinese population; the South, with its Hispanics; Texas, where independence movements are on the rise; the Atlantic coast, with its distinct and separate mentality; five of the poorer central states with their large Native American populations; and the northern states, where the influence from Canada is strong.

Panarin says that only the hope of some sort of miracle economic turn around under an Obama presidency is holding back such mass upheaval.

While the prediction may sound alarming to some, it is not so far fetched.

Article IV of the United States Constitution provides for the creation of new states of the Union, requiring that any such creation be approved by the legislature of the affected state(s), as well as the United States Congress.

In the past there have been many attempts and proposals for breakaways and secessions. Many contend that the U.S. will continue to evolve and change in this fashion.

Most recently, earlier this year, the state of Oklahoma drafted a resolution (PDF) claiming sovereignty under the Tenth Amendment, serving notice and demand to the federal government to cease and desist mandates beyond the scope of constitutionally delegated powers. While this may be a leap away from secession, the increasing dissatisfaction with the federal government’s role in the economic crisis could see more of the same kind of activity becoming commonplace.

Addendum: A version of the RIA Novosti article linked above has appeared unsourced on the Drudge Report today, minus the section concerning the move towards the Amero currency.

This article was posted: Tuesday, November 25, 2008 at 9:13 am

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