Gulf Emirate Sunni coalition does not have the ability to defeat Shia Houthi militias
March 27, 2015
The corporate media is attempting to push the narrative that the Gulf Emirate attack against Shia Houthi militias in Yemen is about restoring the “the legitimate government of Yemen,” as Adel al-Jubeir, the Saudi ambassador to the United States, said Wednesday.
The ambassador’s remarks serve as a thinly veiled cover for the real objective for the attack on Yemen — taking control of one of seven strategic world oil shipping chokepoints. The removal of sitting President Abed Rabbo Mansour Hadi from power by the Houthi militias threatened this control. It also potentially increases Iranian influence in Yemen and the Gulf of Aden and the Strait of Bab el-Mandab where more than 10 percent of the world’s seaborne petroleum passes.
F. William Engdahl explains:
An excuse for a US or NATO militarization of the waters around Bab el-Mandab would give Washington another major link in its pursuit of control of the seven most critical oil chokepoints around the world, a major part of any future US strategy aimed at denying oil flows to China, the EU or any region or country that opposes US policy.
On Thursday the United States confirmed it is supporting Saudi military operations underway in Yemen.
National Security Council spokesperson Bernadette Meehan said:
In support of [Gulf Cooperation Council] actions to defend against Houthi violence, President Obama has authorized the provision of logistical and intelligence support to GCC-led military operations. While U.S. forces are not taking direct military action in Yemen in support of this effort, we are establishing a Joint Planning Cell with Saudi Arabia to coordinate U.S. military and intelligence support.
In other words the US launched a proxy war to regain control of Yemen.
On Thursday Egypt said it is prepared to send troops. Egypt has the largest army in the Arab world. President Abdel Fattah el-Sisi provided cover for Egypt’s participation in the operation by saying his country must “fulfill the calls of the Yemeni people for the return of stability and the preservation of the Arab identity.”
In addition to helping the Gulf Emirates — and the United States — maintain control of the Gulf of Aden and the Strait of Bab el-Mandab, the remark by el-Sisi about “preservation of the Arab identity” is an allusion to preventing Iranian influence in the region.
Hot War Between Sunni and Shia Islam
The establishment media in the West has correctly identified the coalition arrayed against Shia militias in Yemen — including Egypt, Morocco, Sudan and Jordan — as a Sunni undertaking.
For now, the US and the UK are on the sidelines. If, however, the Saudis fail to reinstall Abdurabu Mansour Hadi’s government in Sanaa or create a situation in the country favorable to the global financial elite, the US and Britain will undoubtedly intervene.
The British Foreign Office is said to be considering a direct military role and the United States is currently “coordinating military and intelligence support” for the Sunni operation.
IHS Jane’s Intelligence Weekly says “Saudi Arabian and other Arab League ground forces are ill-placed to support the reinstatement of President Abdurabu Mansour Hadi’s government in Sanaa without a high-risk commitment to taking on the Houthi in their mountainous homeland in north Yemen” and will likely use Yemeni proxies on the ground supported by Arab coalition — and eventually US and British — airstrikes.
“The success of a Saudi ground force intervention against the Houthi would be far from guaranteed, and also likely to prove highly costly for the Saudis, as well as increase domestic instability risks,” writes Firas Abi Ali.
Saudi Arabia Known for Numerous Foreign Policy Failures
“Saudi Arabia believed that it had allies in Yemen but they turned against its initiative and today it is incapable of military intervention and is just watching the begetting of a new entity in Yemen,” writes Saudi activist and renowned academic, Dr. Madawi Al-Rashid.
This inability and the dismal track record of Arab military success in the Middle East may ultimately result in a more direct military role by the United States and Britain.
This article was posted: Friday, March 27, 2015 at 12:09 pm