June 20, 2012
Societe Generale is “enthusiastic on gold” — so much so that in their latest cross-asset strategy report, they call “buy gold ahead of QE3” their number one strategy, saying it’s “the perfect asset to benefit” from additional loose monetary policy.
In the report, SocGen discusses the historical relationship between the price of gold and the U.S. monetary base.
The SocGen team writes that “if gold catches up with the increase in the monetary base since 1920 (as it did in the early 80s), its price would rise to USD 8500/Oz,” adding that just “to close the gap with the monetary base increase since July 2007, gold would have to rise to $1,900/oz, assuming full transmission from the monetary base increase to the gold price.”
This article was posted: Wednesday, June 20, 2012 at 8:50 am